Scenario Studio
Pressure-test every move before you commit.
Compare the baseline with a move before you take it to your provider. See modeled outcome shifts, category leverage, confidence, assumptions, and freshness without a fixed run-count or latency promise.
PICK PILOT · TERMINAL v1.2.0
scenarios / week-12 / trade-04ILLUSTRATIVE
SCENARIO
Trade · 9-cat H2H
SEED
2026-w12
MODE
League rules
OUTPUT
Explainable
Roster comparisonSTRENGTHS · NORMALIZED
Category win-probability9-CAT · H2H
PTS
72
REB
41
AST
66
STL
55
BLK
38
3PM
71
FG%
49
FT%
83
TO
62
Win probabilityROSTER · A
Run logSTREAM
14:02:11› seed 2026-w12 locked
14:02:11› rolling-form inputs loaded
14:02:12› simulation · league rules
14:02:12› A win-prob · 0.640 ±0.031
14:02:12› advantage · FT% · PTS
14:02:12› risk · BLK · REB
14:02:12› completed · evidence attached
14:02:13awaiting input
Illustrative league data, not a customer result.
Baseline
move vs standing pat
Visible
freshness + assumptions
Human
provider action stays yours
What's inside
- Monte Carlo simulation 01
- Fidelity is selected for the job and disclosed with the result. Supported league settings shape the run; unusual formats stop or carry an explicit assumption.
- Side-by-side rosters 02
- Compare supported add, drop, and trade actions against standing pat. Lineup-only actions remain a known coverage gap, not a fabricated delta.
- Category-level leverage 03
- Per-category win probability and uncertainty show which parts of the matchup are stable, swingable, or too close to call.
- Saved scenarios 04
- Save, re-run, and compare supported scenarios. Protected share links and exports are limited to named Elite surfaces rather than universal.
See also
Common questions
01What does 'league-aware' actually mean?+
We use the category list, scoring formula, roster slots, and waiver settings the connector can verify. Missing or unsupported rules must be disclosed or block the run rather than fall back silently.
02Are simulations deterministic?+
Runs record their engine inputs and seed where the surface supports replay. A later re-run may change when the roster, schedule, availability, or rolling-form inputs change; that change is part of the decision record.
03How are confidence intervals computed?+
The active engine returns an interval with its method and assumptions in result metadata. We do not promise that every surface exposes the full distribution or an export.
Ready to use Scenario Studio?
Web beta. No paid checkout; provider coverage and import timing vary by league.