The fantasy basketball co-pilot for people who keep score.

Connect a compatible league. Pick Pilot finds the decision, shows the legal and fresh case, plans the contingency, and hands the final action back to you.

Open the web beta →Yahoo web beta · Sleeper conditional beta · Fantrax request access · no write-back

PICK PILOT · TERMINAL v1.2.0

scenarios / week-12 / trade-04ILLUSTRATIVE

SCENARIO

Trade · 9-cat H2H

SEED

2026-w12

MODE

League rules

OUTPUT

Explainable

Roster comparisonSTRENGTHS · NORMALIZED

Category win-probability9-CAT · H2H

PTS

REB

AST

STL

BLK

3PM

FG%

FT%

Win probabilityROSTER · A

Run logSTREAM

14:02:11› seed 2026-w12 locked

14:02:11› rolling-form inputs loaded

14:02:12› simulation · league rules

14:02:12› A win-prob · 0.640 ±0.031

14:02:12› advantage · FT% · PTS

14:02:12› risk · BLK · REB

14:02:12› completed · evidence attached

14:02:13awaiting input

Scenario Studio · simulated trade with illustrative league data · not a customer result

Floodlit hardwood from the rafters of a darkened basketball arena, center court brightly lit.

Who it’s for

Pick the desk that looks like your season.

The arc of a season

Day zero to the ring. One tool, six phases.

The Championship Decision Loop

The feature is not the edge. Closing the loop is.

Detect

Find the decision that matters now.

Sort the week by leverage, lock time, and what changed instead of opening every league and player page in sequence.

Prove

Show the legal, fresh case.

League rules, roster state, source age, assumptions, confidence, and explanation sit beside the call. Thin evidence triggers abstention.

Contingencies

Plan for the board to move.

Keep the fallback ready for injuries, lineup locks, games caps, waiver order, FAAB, postponements, and schedule changes.

Handoff

Take the action where the league lives.

Pick Pilot remains read-only. Copy or open the provider plan and complete the move yourself; no write-back is implied.

Replan

Change the call when the facts change.

A stale recommendation is not a recommendation. Re-run against the new roster, injury, lock, or schedule state.

Grade

Separate process from luck.

Review the choice against information available at decision time, and mark postponed, corrected, or incomplete outcomes ungradable.

Edge-case honesty

The promises we’ll still keep at 3 AM.

Every analytics tool works when the wind is at its back. This is what ours does when it isn’t — outages, missing inputs, model drift. No horoscopes, no faked numbers, no silent fallbacks.

Provider sync fails

Affected decision surfaces show the last-known-good timestamp and use cached rosters only with a stale label. If a required source is too old, the call abstains.

An input is missing

Decision surfaces expose the inputs they use. If minutes data is missing, the result lowers confidence or abstains rather than quietly padding the number.

The AI model degrades

Matchup briefs carry their model version, latency, and citation count. A narrative without verified numbers is flagged ‘analyst absent’ — never published as fact.

Your league is unusual

Custom categories, points and roto, FAAB and priority waivers, keepers, games caps, and IL rules are validated from imported settings where available. Unsupported shapes stop or carry an explicit caveat.

The math disagrees with the vibe

We show the math. Your assist leader might carry the worst lineup rating this week because the category matchup isn’t there — and we’ll say so, with sources.

You want to verify us

Supported surfaces expose methodology, source age, and selected tables or exports. Weekly PDF/CSV and protected share paths are Elite; universal chart export is not claimed.

The thesis

01 / 04

Why this exists

Generic averages lose leagues. Yours has rules — we use them.

The web beta recomputes rolling-form and schedule signals against the league settings it can verify. If a scoring, roster, waiver, or lock rule is missing, the answer must disclose the assumption or stop. League context is expected in this category; the differentiator is carrying that proof through handoff, replanning, and grading.

Illustrative decision record — not a customer resultrows · 4

Decision	Generic tool	Pick Pilot (league-aware)	Δ win-prob
Trade · Tatum + PF for Lillard	APPROVE · +2.8 rating	HOLD · FT% drag	−7.2%
Stream · Wings off waivers · w12	Suggests top 10 by FPPG	Suggests 3PM + STL only	+4.1%
Lineup · Friday 3-game night	Balances all categories	Punts BLK · locks PTS+AST	+2.6%
Draft · round 6 pivot	VBD-only ranking	Category leverage + roster fit	+5.3%

How it works

How a single decision gets made.

Ingest the league state the provider exposes.

Connect Yahoo in web beta or a compatible Sleeper NBA league in conditional beta; Fantrax is request access. We use the rules the provider exposes and flag the gaps.

ii.

Project against your rules.

Recent rolling form and schedule context are recomputed against verified scoring and roster settings. Licensed rest-of-season projections have not landed yet.

iii.

Simulate the decision.

Every trade, add, drop, or lineup scenario is evaluated against your categories and schedule before a recommendation appears — with advantages and risks named in plain language.

Matchup leverage

Know which categories win you the week.

Supported categories are scored by how far they sit from a coin flip. The engine names advantages and risks, while unsupported or stale inputs stay visible.

PICK PILOT · MATCHUP · W12

you 6·2 · vs opp 5·3ILLUSTRATIVE

Category leverage9-CAT · Δ WIN-PROB

Win-prob bandP10 · P50 · P90

PLAYBOOK

LOCK FT%LOCK PTSLOCK 3PMRISK REBRISK BLK

Punt BLK, REB. Stream 3PM off waivers. Start all available games at FT%.

Illustrative matchup data.

Draft room

Every recorded pick, revalued as the board changes.

A value-over-replacement curve, tier breaks, a polled or manually reconciled pick board, and your roster’s category mix beside each other.

PICK PILOT · DRAFT ROOM · SNAKE · 12-TEAM

on the clock · you · 1m 47s

Value over replacementROUND-WEIGHTED · TIER BREAKS

Board · last 6 picksR5 · P55–60

5.55CHIDesmond BaneSG

5.56LALDraymond GreenPF

5.57BOSAlperen ŞengünC▲ VAL

5.58DALO.G. AnunobySF

5.59NYKTyler HerroSG

5.60YOUon the clock · R6—

YOUR ROSTER · CATEGORY MIX

AST

3PM

FT%

REB

BLK

Illustrative draft board; provider polling is not push.

02 / 04

What is in the web beta

Six surfaces. One decision loop.

League-aware intelligence: Rolling-form ratings and composite signals use verified categories and roster context. Freshness and missing inputs stay visible.
Scenario Studio: Compare the baseline with supported adds, drops, and trades before you commit. Lineup-only scenario deltas remain a disclosed coverage gap.
Explainable AI: Matchup briefs, trade analysis, and ask-your-league queries start with structured evidence and abstain when the context is insufficient.
Premium charts: Radar strength, category leverage, schedule edge, and probability bands. Selected reports, tables, and share artifacts support export.
Responsive web: Daily decision surfaces work on phone-sized screens. Native iOS/Android, store availability, parity, and native push are not public launch claims.
Draft assistant: Draft prep, provider polling where supported, and post-draft review. Inputs are rolling form until a licensed projection source lands.